Rasim Özcan

İktisat Bölümü, başta Türkiye ve çevre ülkeler olmak üzere küresel ekonomileri anlayan, var olan sorunları analiz ederken, iktisadi kuramları ve kavramları yetkin ve özgün bir şekilde kullanma becerisine sahip bireyler yetiştirmeyi amaçlamaktadır.

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Rasim Özcan

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Ekonomi, Finansal piyasalar, Manipülasyon ve Düzenleme, Blockchain Kripto Para Birim

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Listeleniyor 1 - 10 / 17

How will robotization affect relative positions of the IDB member countries?
(İbrahim Güran Yumuşak, 2018) Özcan, Rasim; Özcan, Rasim; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü
Countries adopting robotization faster will be able to increase efficiency and productivity, hence gaining comparative edge over other countries. In this study, we focus on how robotization will affect the relative macroeconomic positions of Islamic Development Bank (IDB) Member Countries (MCs). i.e. relative economic resiliency of the IDB MCs to the robotization. To do this, we propose an index to rank economic resiliency of IDB MCs to robotization by employing two data sets. The first data set is Comtrade; MCs’ exports data from 1995 to 2016. The second data set consists of the human capital intensity at detailed sectoral levels, and is called the Revealed Factor Intensity Indices database provided by United Nations Conference on Trade Development (UNCTAD). It gives a unique number indicating the factor intensity of a traded goods group according to SITC classification. By using these two data sets, we develop an index for each MC showing human capital intensity of the MC’s exports sectors for a year. Then, ranking the proposed index value for each MC reveals the relative economic resilience of MCs: the higher the figure, the more resilient the MC economy to robotization. The results of this study help to understand how susceptible MCs’ economies to robotization. In addition, they will provide a ground to policy makers to develop relevant policies in order to decrease the vulnerability against robotization.
Fintech adoption in Pakistan: Mobile Wallet Service (MWS) over GDP causality evidence for pre and post COVID-19
(Kinnaird College for Women, 2023) Latif, Muhammad Nouman; Özcan, Rasim
This paper aims to analyze the use of mobile wallet services in Pakistan and how they affect both the economy and people's daily lives. Socioeconomically disadvantaged households in Pakistan will swiftly use mobile wallet services due to the increasing adoption of technology. Socioeconomic considerations are the most commonly used criterion for determining whether someone is underbanked or unbanked. We used data on mobile wallet services (MWS) and GDP from the State Bank of Pakistan for the period of 2013 to 2022. We conducted a causality test to ascertain the relationship between Pakistan's GDP and mobile wallet service. We discovered that the relationship between mobile wallet service and GDP is unidirectional. We then conducted an ordinary least square regression analysis, and the findings showed a positive correlation between GDP and mobile wallet service, confirming the causality. Because it is incredibly user-friendly and convenient for clients, it demonstrates that this service attracts attention from the public. Many low-income individuals use it, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic, as opposed to using standard banking systems. We recommend that financial literacy initiatives be taken seriously in order to promote equal financial inclusion in the economy. Mobile wallet users should be encouraged to keep using the service in order to aid the government in revenue mobilization. Additionally, it prevents the movement of illicit funds or fraudulent activity in the financial sector.
Why companies fail? The boiling frog syndrome
(2018) Özcan, Rasim; Özcan, Rasim; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü
Why nations fail? An answer is given by Acemoglu and Robinson (2012) by pointing out the importance of institutions for an economy that leads to innovations for economic growth. Christensen (2012) asks a similar question for a firm and diagnoses why companies fail. In this study, I relate Acemoglu and Robinson (2012) with Christensen (2012) in order to better understand how to make companies more prosperous, more powerful, healthier, and live longer via innovations.
Whether the crypto market is efficient? Evidence from testing the validity of the efficient market hypothesis
(Bank Indonesia Institute, 2024) Iftikhar, Sundas; Khan, Asad ul Islam; Özcan, Rasim; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü
This study examines the validity of the efficient market hypothesis for the cryptocurrency market. We use the Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic approach to examine the presence of different calendar anomalies i.e., the Halloween effect, the day-of-the-week (DOW) effect, and the month-of-the-year effect in the case of Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Tether, and USD Coin. The findings show that there is no strong evidence of the Halloween effect. We find only robust Thursday and Saturday effects in the mean equation. In the case of the month-of-the-year effect, there is only a reverse January effect. More specifically, we note that April and February are statistically significant in the case of Bitcoin and Ethereum, respectively. Results obtained from the variance equations imply that September and October are the least risky months for investors.
Till debt does us apart: Cross-country evidence on the relationship between microfinance prevalence and social distrust
(Public Library Science, 2023) Khan, Asad ul Islam; Özcan, Rasim; Masood, Syed Muhammad Usman; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü
Economic interventions have social consequences. In this paper, we explore one such relationship, between microfinance intensity and social distrust levels reported by the low-income people. We find a significant association between microfinance intensity in a country and distrust among the poor as well as ultra-poor in cross-section using World Values Survey & European Values Survey (WVS-EVS) Wave 7 (2017-2022). We supplement these findings using empirical Bayes on a panel extending back from 7th to the 4th WVS wave (1999-2004). To deal with potential endogeneity, we run 2SLS as well as weak instruments-robust conditional instrumental variable tests and find evidence showing microfinance prevalence intensity affects distrust levels among the poor and ultra-poor households. We find no association between microfinance and distrust levels in the rich in any of the tests, potentially because the rich are not exposed to microfinance.
Why Companies fail? The boiling frog syndrome
(Transstellar Journal Publications and Research Consultancy Private Limited (TJPRC PVT. LTD.), 2018) Özcan, Rasim; Özcan, Rasim; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü
Why do nations fail? An answer is given by Acemoglu and Robinson (2012) by pointing out the importance of institutions for an economy that leads to innovations for economic growth. Christensen (2012) asks a similar question for a firm and diagnoses why companies fail. This study relates Acemoglu and Robinson (2012) with Christensen (2012) in order to better understand how to make companies more prosperous, powerful, healthier, and live longer via innovations. In order not to cause a company to fail, instead of traditional financial ratios, in addition to understanding types of innovations, right metrics and incentives have to be employed in order to foster the innovative environment in a company. Only then companies are able to avoid slow, persistent deterioration that will result in fatalities, the boiling frog syndrome.
Threat of intervention in cryptocurrency market: West side story of Bitcoin and Ripple
(Bucharest University of Economic Studies, 2023) Aysan, Ahmet Faruk; Isac, Nicoleta; Drammeh, Ousman; Khan, Asad ul Islam; Özcan, Rasim; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü
This study examines the impact of intervention threats on the price and volume volatility of Bitcoin and XRP. Using the Threshold or GJR-GARCH model, we analyse the relationship between news shocks (representing intervention threats) and the volatilities of Bitcoin and XRP price and volume returns, based on data from January 2014 to April 2021. The results indicate a significant association between news shocks and Bitcoin's price volatility, suggesting that intervention-related news events have a notable impact. However, the relationship between news shocks and XRP's price volatility is insignificant. Notably, XRP's volume returns demonstrate a positive and significant relationship with news shocks, while Bitcoin's volume returns do not exhibit a significant relationship. Additionally, past shocks and conditional variance shocks significantly contribute to the volatility of today's price or volume returns. These findings suggest that Ripple (XRP) may benefit from the implicit threat of intervention, strategically managing its availability to control price surges.
Symmetric and asymmetric impacts of commercial energy distribution from key sources on economic progress in Pakistan
(MDPI, 2021) Özcan, Rasim; Özcan, Rasim; Rehman, Abdul; Özcan, Rasim; Badshah, Waqar; Radulescu, Magdalena; Öztürk, İlhan; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü
This paper aims to determine the interaction of commercial energy distribution, including the installed capacity of hydroelectric energy, hydroelectric energy generation, the installed capacity of thermal energy, thermal energy generation, the installed capacity of nuclear energy, and nuclear energy generation, with economic progress in Pakistan over the 1970–2019 period. Both linear and non-linear autoregressive distributed lag models were used to ascertain the symmetric and asymmetric short- and long-run effects. The findings from the linear autoregressive distributed lag model analysis revealed evidence that increases in the installed capacity of nuclear energy, alongside higher levels of hydroelectric energy generation and thermal energy generation, have positively affected economic growth in the short run, while a greater installed capacity of nuclear energy has positively affected economic growth in the long run. The findings from the non-linear autoregressive distributed lag model analysis showed that negative shocks to installed capacities related to hydroelectric, thermal, and nuclear energy reduced economic growth, while positive shocks to hydroelectric energy generation and the installed capacity of nuclear energy boosted economic growth in the short run. Furthermore, in the long run, negative shocks to the installed capacities of hydroelectric and thermal energy reduced economic growth, negative shocks to the installed capacity of nuclear energy enhanced economic growth, and positive shocks to hydroelectric energy generation and the installed capacity of nuclear energy have stimulated economic growth in Pakistan.
The language of sustainability: Exploring the implications of metaphors on environmental action and finance
(Corvinus University of Budapest, 2023) Napari, Ayuba; Özcan, Rasim; Khan, Asad ul Islam; Özcan, Rasim; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü
The relationship between humans and the environment is complex. To capture this complex relationship, metaphors/concepts have always been used. The most prominent of these metaphors/conceptions is the limits concept. This views the natural environment in terms of its carrying capacity and contend that human actions must be controlled so as not to overwhelm the environment. For overburdening the environment will result in a collapse of the natural system. The environmental optimists on the other hand discount the carrying capacity contending that human ingenuity and the market mechanism will overcome any temporary environmental problems that may arise. A tempered version of both is the political-ecological class of metaphors/conceptions which emphasize the political, cultural, and economic factors responsible for environmental decay and/or restoration. In this study, the implications of these metaphors/conceptions on environmental action and environmental finance are examined. It is concluded that, the limits conception views environmental action as a top-bottom endeavor and places governmental and multilateral organizations at the center of environmental and climate finance. The neoclassical and technological optimist concepts contend that, the current capitalist structure is well suited to tackle environmental externalities and government policy should encourage eco-innovation preferable through public-private partnerships. The tapestry and the political-ecological class of metaphors envisages a role for central authorities as well as private local individuals with crowdfunding and corporate social/environmental responsibilities along with governmental and multilateral aid and public-private partnerships being some of the main sources of funds for environmental protection and restoration.
The rise of robots! effects on employment and income
(Marmara Üniversitesi, 2019) Özcan, Rasim; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İşletme Bölümü; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İşletme Bölümü
Disruptive technological advances will have profound impacts on the employment landscape over the years to come. As in the past, new technologies will change the way humans live and work. Some occupations will become obsolete, while new occupations will emerge. Consequently, people will be displaced from some occupations, be forced to require new skills so that they can work in new occu- pations. Although the introduction of new technologies –robotization– has many dimensions, its effe- cts will range from structural unemployment to distribution of labor income. The first question would be what will be the impact of new technologies on labor demand? Given that new technologies expectedly increase productivity, hence income, the second question would be how the raise be distributed between low and high skilled labor. Hence, this study focuses on the effects of robotization on the structural unemployment, its implications on labor demand and its income distribution effects. I review the current situation of robotization, and make recommendations to policy makers and corporate managers to get prepared for accelerating robotization and not only to mitigate its potential adverse effects on employment and income distribution, but also to take this as an opportunity to increase the quality of life for all.

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