Efficient bankruptcy prediction and its role for a more resilient Alpine tourism

dc.authorid0000-0003-1776-2522
dc.authorid0000-0002-3953-2296
dc.authorid0000-0001-7984-5791
dc.authorid0009-0001-8890-8333
dc.contributor.authorPlaikner, Alexander
dc.contributor.authorHaid, Marco
dc.contributor.authorTänzel, Marcus
dc.contributor.authorKol, Hüseyin Yağızhan
dc.contributor.otherHukuk Fakültesi, Hukuk Bölümü
dc.date.accessioned2025-03-12T06:28:04Z
dc.date.available2025-03-12T06:28:04Z
dc.date.issued2025
dc.departmentİHÜ, Hukuk Fakültesi, Özel Hukuk Ana Bilim Dalı
dc.description.abstractThis paper examines the impact of selected variables on the value creation of tourism enterprises in Western Austria (Salzburg, Tyrol, and Vorarlberg) with the objective of developing an insolvency prediction model for Alpine tourism businesses. This study specifically highlights practical applications for business owners, policymakers, and financial institutions, providing strategies to mitigate bankruptcy risks in the tourism sector. The objective of this study is to address existing gaps in the literature regarding the early detection of insolvency in the tourism sector, particularly in German-speaking regions. To this end, a hybrid analytical method is employed, combining quantitative statistical approaches with sector-specific contextual analysis. A dataset comprising tourism firms was divided into two groups, namely solvent and insolvent, with a view to identifying significant explanatory variables influencing insolvency risks. The primary findings indicate that enterprise size, company age, and debt levels (as indicated by the equity ratio) are significant risk factors for insolvency. Furthermore, the results suggest that small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are particularly vulnerable to financial crises. Finally, the findings demonstrate that macroeconomic structures and sectoral effects significantly impact insolvency probabilities. These findings emphasise the necessity for the development of early warning systems that are tailored to the specific requirements of SMEs in Alpine tourism.This research is particularly pertinent in light of the rising insolvency rates in the tourism industry and the lack of comprehensive official statistics, which impede effective crisis management. By addressing these challenges, the study contributes to the development of targeted risk management and intervention strategies to enhance the resilience of tourism enterprises in the region.
dc.identifier.citationPlaikner, A., Haid, M., Tänzel, M. & Kol, H. Y. (2025). Efficient bankruptcy prediction and its role for a more resilient Alpine tourism. International Journal of Business Ecosystem & Strategy, 7(1), 152-172. http://doi.org/10.36096/ijbes.v7i1.716
dc.identifier.doi10.36096/ijbes.v7i1.716
dc.identifier.endpage172
dc.identifier.issn2687-2293
dc.identifier.issue1
dc.identifier.startpage152
dc.identifier.urihttp://doi.org/10.36096/ijbes.v7i1.716
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12154/3253
dc.identifier.volume7
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherBussecon International Academy
dc.relation.ispartofInternational Journal of Business Ecosystem & Strategy
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subjectTourism
dc.subjectBankruptcy
dc.subjectSMEs
dc.subjectRisk Management
dc.subjectResilience
dc.titleEfficient bankruptcy prediction and its role for a more resilient Alpine tourism
dc.typeArticle
dspace.entity.typePublication
relation.isAuthorOfPublicatione2883491-0674-4546-bb56-a4b8f39995be
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoverye2883491-0674-4546-bb56-a4b8f39995be
relation.isOrgUnitOfPublication3bcedbab-4046-4325-910f-6af410d4e36c
relation.isOrgUnitOfPublication.latestForDiscovery3bcedbab-4046-4325-910f-6af410d4e36c

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