Delen, Dursun
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Araştırma projeleri
Organizasyon Birimleri
Lisansüstü Eğitim Enstitüsü, İşletme Ana Bilim Dalı
İş dünyasının giderek karmaşıklaşan ve dinamik hale gelen yapısı, farklı disiplinlerden gelen bireylerin aynı örgütsel çatı altında aynı amaçlar doğrultusunda etkin ve verimli çalışmalarını zorunlu hale getirmiştir. Bu sebeple de, işletmenin tüm işlevlerini bütüncül bir bakış açısı ile değerlendirebilecek ve bu hususları faaliyet gösterilen ekosistemin diğer dinamikleri ile uyumlu yönetebilecek bireylere duyulan ihtiyaç artmıştır. Ayrıca, teknoloji alanında yaşanan baş döndürücü gelişmeler rekabetin sahasını genişletmiş ve özellikle üretim, dağıtım, pazarlama ve finans alanlarında entegre bilgi birikimine sahip, yönetsel becerisi yüksek insan kaynağına önemli ölçüde bir talep doğurmuştur.
Adı Soyadı
Dursun Delen
İlgi Alanları
Sağlık Analitiği, Karar Destek Sistemleri, Sağlık Analitiği, İş Zekası, İş Analitiği
Kurumdaki Durumu
Pasif Personel
7 sonuçlar
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Yayın An ANP and fuzzy TOPSIS-based SWOT analysis for Turkey's energy planning(Elsevier, 2018) Ervural, Beyzanur Çayır; Zaim, Selim; Demirel, Ömer Fahrettin; Aydın, Zeynep; Delen, Dursun; Zaim, Selim; Demirel, Ömer Fahrettin; Delen, Dursun; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İşletme BölümüEnergy planning involves a perpetual process of reevaluating alternative energy strategies. Authorities responsible for energy planning and management have to adjust their strategies according to new and improved alternative solutions based on the sustainability criteria. In this study, we propose an integrated hybrid methodology for the analysis of Turkey’s energy sector using Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats (SWOT) analysis, Analytic Network Process (ANP) process, and weighted fuzzy Technique for Order Performance by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) to formulate and holistically analyze the energy strategy alternatives and priorities. The methodology proposed in this study allowed identifying the relevant criteria and sub-criteria using a SWOT analysis. Then, ANP approach, which is one of the popular multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) methods, is employed to determine the weights of each SWOT factors and sub-factors. Finally, fuzzy TOPSIS methodology is conducted to prioritize alternative energy strategies. We discuss the obtained results for the development of long-range alternative energy strategies. The results showed that turning the country into an energy hub and an energy terminal by effectively using the geo-strategic position within the framework of the regional cooperation is the most important priority. On the other hand, using the nuclear energy technologies within the energy supply strategies found to be the least favored priority.Yayın The use of multi-criteria decision-making methods in business analytics: A comprehensive literature review(Elsevier, 2022) Yalçın, Ahmet Selçuk; Kılıç, Hüseyin Selçuk; Delen, Dursun; Delen, Dursun; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İşletme BölümüBusiness analytics (BA) systems are considered significant investments for enterprises because they have the potential to considerably improve firms’ performance. With the value offered by BA, companies are able to discover the hidden information in the data, improve decision-making processes, and support strategic planning. On the other hand, because there are multiple criteria and multiple alternatives involved in most decision- making situations, multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods play an important role in BA practices. Providing inputs to the components of descriptive or predictive analytics or being used as a decision-making tool for evaluating the alternatives within prescriptive analytics exemplify the roles. Therefore, the use of hidden information discovered by business analytics and the need for utilizing the right MCDM method for optimal decision-making made these two concepts inseparable. In this paper, in order to review the use of MCDM methods in BA, the subject of BA is investigated from a taxonomical perspective (descriptive, predictive, and prescriptive), and its connection with MCDM techniques is revealed. Similarly, MCDM methods are studied using two main categories, multi-attribute decision making (MADM) and multi-objective decision making (MODM) methods. Furthermore, tabular and graphical analyses are also performed within the proposed review meth-odology. To the best of our knowledge, this review is the first attempt that holistically considers the use of MCDM methods in BA.Yayın An interactive decision support system for real-time ambulance relocation with priority guidelines(Elsevier, 2022) Hajiali, Mahdi; Teimoury, Ebrahim; Rabiee, Meysam; Delen, Dursun; Delen, Dursun; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İşletme BölümüChanges in demand patterns and unexpected events are the two primary sources of delays in healthcare emergency operations. To mitigate such delays, researchers proposed the movement of idle ambulances between emergency bases as one of the effective ways to improve the areal coverage of future demands. In this study, we have developed a model-driven decision support system that simultaneously seeks to maximize demand coverage while minimizing travel time by optimally relocating emergency response vehicles. The developed mathematical model partitions and prioritizes demand into four categories and continuously updates them over time. Furthermore, it dynamically calculates the number of coverages in different regions based on the current location of idle ambulances. Also, we developed a real-time risk assessment DSS for recommended relocations, which could be utilized as a reference by the EMS user while implementing suggested relocation decisions. A real case study is used to validate the proposed DSS, and its final output is compared to the existing operational policy. The findings show that the average workload added to each ambulance due to relocations has significantly improved the response time and coverage ratio. Compared to the existing operational policy, the developed decision support system decreased the time to respond to calls, which was deemed to be more than to offsets the increase in travel time due to relocation. Furthermore, the system also reduced the total working time of all ambulances by about 9% per shift.Yayın An integrated approach for lean production using simulation and data envelopment analysis(Springer, 2021) Buyuksaatci Kiris, Sinem; Eryarsoy, Enes; Zaim, Selim; Delen, Dursun; Zaim, Selim; Delen, Dursun; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İşletme BölümüAccording to the extant literature, improving the leanness of a production system boosts a company’s productivity and competitiveness. However, such an endeavor usually involves managing multiple, potentially conflicting objectives. This study proposes a framework that analyzes lean production methods using simulation and data envelopment analysis (DEA) to accommodate the underlying multi-objective decision-making problem. The proposed framework can help identify the most efficient solution alternative by (i) considering the most common lean production methods for assembly line balancing, such as single minute exchange of dies (SMED) and multi-machine set-up reduction (MMSUR), (ii) creating and simulating various alternative assembly line configuration options via discrete-event simulation modeling, and (iii) formulating and applying DEA to identify the best alternative assembly system configuration for the multi-objective decision making. In this study, we demonstrate the viability and superiority of the proposed framework with an application case on an automotive spare parts production system. The results show that the suggested framework substantially improves the existing system by increasing efficiency while concurrently decreasing work-in-process (WIP).Yayın An analytic approach to assessing organizational citizenship behavior(Elsevier, 2017) Arda, Özlem Ayaz; Delen, Dursun; Tatoğlu, Ekrem; Zaim, Selim; Tatoğlu, Ekrem; Zaim, Selim; Delen, Dursun; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İşletme BölümüThis study examines the organizational citizenship behavior (OCB) of employees by designing and developing an analytic network process (ANP) methodology. The viability of the proposed methodology is demonstrated via the sales representatives of Beko, a brand name controlled by Koç Group. We first develop a conceptual framework based on qualitative research methods – in-depth interviews and focus group sessions. We employ the principles of ANP methodology to examine and discover the inter-relationships among the OCBs. This process results in a descriptive model that encapsulates the findings from both qualitative and analytics methods. Necessity, altruism, departmental, compliance, and independence are the underlying dimensions of OCBs found to be the most influential/important. The key novelty of this study resides in designing and developing a prescriptive analytics (i.e. ANP) methodology to evaluate the OCBs, which is rare in the area of organizational behavior (a managerial field of study that have been dominated by traditional statistical methods), and thus serves as a useful contribution/augmentation to the business/managerial research methods, and also extends the reach/coverage of analytics-based decision support systems research and practice into a new direction.Yayın A text-mining based cyber-risk assessment and mitigation framework for critical analysis of online hacker forums(Elsevier, 2022) Biswas, Baidyanath; Mukhopadhyay, Arunabha; Bhattacharjee, Sudip; Kumar, Ajay; Delen, Dursun; Delen, Dursun; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İşletme BölümüOnline hacker communities are meeting spots for aspiring and seasoned cybercriminals where they engage in technical discussions, share exploits and relevant hacking tools to be used in launching cyber-attacks on business organizations. Sometimes, the affected organizations can detect these attacks in advance, with the help of cyberthreat intelligence derived from the explicit and implicit features of hacker communication in these forums. Herein, we proposed a novel text-mining based cyber-risk assessment and mitigation framework, which performs the following critical tasks. (i) Cyber-risk Assessment - to identify hacker expertise (i.e., newbie, beginner, intermediate, and advanced) using explicit and implicit features applying various classification algorithms. Among these features, cybersecurity keywords, sharing of attachments, and sentiments emerged as significant. Further, we found that expert hackers demonstrate leadership in the online forums that eventually serve as communities of practice. Consequently, novice hackers gradually develop their cyber-attack skills through prolonged observations, interactions, and external influences in this social learning process. (ii) Cyber-risk mitigation - computes financial impact for every {hacker expertise, attack-type} combination, and then by ranking them on a {likelihood, impact} decision-matrix to prioritize mitigation strategies in affected organizations. Through these novel recommendations, our framework can guide managers to decide on appropriate cybersecurity controls using an {expected loss, probability, attack-type, hacker expertise} metric against financial losses due to cyber-attacks.Yayın Deep-learning-based short-term electricity load forecasting: A real case application(Elsevier, 2022) Yazıcı, İbrahim; Beyca, Ömer Faruk; Delen, Dursun; Delen, Dursun; Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İşletme BölümüThe rising popularity of deep learning can largely be attributed to the big data phenomenon, the surge in the development of new and novel deep neural network architectures, and the advent of powerful computational innovations. However, the application of deep neural networks is rare for time series problems when compared to other application areas. Short-term load forecasting, a typical and difficult time series problem, is considered as the application domain in this study. One-dimensional Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) use is rare in time series forecasting problems when compared to Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and the efficiency of CNN has been rather remarkable for pattern extraction. Hence, a new method that uses one-dimensional CNNs based on Video Pixel Networks (VPNs) in this study, in which the gating mechanism of Multiplicative Units of the VPNs is modified in some sense, for short term load forecasting. Specifically, the proposed one-dimensional CNNs, LSTM and GRU variants are applied to real-world electricity load data for 1-hour-ahead and 24-hour-ahead prediction tasks which they are the main concerns for the electricity provider firms for short term load forecasting. Statistical tests were conducted to spot the significance of the performance differences in analyses for which ten ensemble predictions of each method were experimented. According to the results of the comparative analyses, the proposed one-dimensional CNN model yielded the best result in total with 2.21% mean absolute percentage error for 24-h ahead predicitions. On the other hand, not a noteworthy difference between the methods was spotted even the proposed one-dimensional CNN method yielded the best results with approximately 1% mean absolute percentage error for 1-h ahead predictions.
